CFTC defends prediction market enforcement as states challenge platforms
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) made a bold move on Tuesday by filing an amicus brief in federal court to assert its authority over prediction markets, according to newly appointed chairman Michael Selig. Selig, who was nominated by President Donald Trump, emphasized the CFTC’s jurisdiction over prediction markets in a recent Wall Street Journal op-ed, stating that the agency has the exclusive right to regulate these markets and determine whether event contracts amount to gambling.
With nearly 50 legal cases pending against prediction markets, Selig announced that the CFTC would intervene to prevent states from imposing restrictions on these innovative products. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, which allow users to wager on the outcomes of events in various categories such as pop culture and sports, have come under scrutiny for allegedly promoting gambling. However, Kalshi has maintained that it complies with federal regulations and operates within the bounds of CFTC oversight.
In his inaugural address as CFTC chairman, Selig pledged to establish clear guidelines for prediction markets and reassess the agency’s role in legal disputes. He emphasized the economic benefits of event contracts, describing them as swaps rather than gambling instruments. Selig also defended the self-regulatory nature of prediction markets, highlighting the supervision provided by CFTC staff.
In a video posted on X, Selig issued a stern warning to those challenging the CFTC’s authority, declaring, “We will see you in court.” The agency’s amicus brief, which is set to be submitted to the Ninth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in support of Crypto.com against the Nevada Gaming Control Board, underscores the CFTC’s commitment to upholding its regulatory mandate.
While CNBC could not independently verify the filing of the amicus brief, Selig’s proactive stance on prediction markets signals a new era of regulatory oversight in the derivatives market. As the CFTC asserts its authority over these evolving financial products, the integrity and vibrancy of prediction markets in America are poised to flourish under Selig’s leadership.



