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Price increases in the US ease in November

US Inflation Eases as Prices for Hotels, Milk, and Clothing Fall

By Natalie Sherman, Business Reporter


Bloomberg via Getty Images

Recent data from the Labor Department revealed that price increases in the US have eased, with costs for items like hotels, milk, and certain clothing items experiencing a decline. In the 12 months leading up to November, prices only rose by 2.7%, down from 3% in September, a figure lower than anticipated by many analysts. This could potentially support the argument for the US central bank to continue reducing interest rates.

The slowdown in inflation comes at a time when rising prices have been a cause of concern for many, putting pressure on US President Donald Trump to fulfill his promises of economic relief.

The delay in the release of the consumer price index (CPI) report was due to the US government shutdown, which also impacted data collection.

Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth, noted that discounts offered by retailers during November, the start of the holiday shopping season, influenced the report. However, without October data, drawing definitive conclusions about broader trends is challenging.

Hogan commented, “All told, this is a positive report, albeit with an asterisk. Subsequent CPI reports are expected to provide more clarity and smooth out any statistical errors.”

The report also indicated a rare deceleration in rent and housing cost increases, which hold significant weight in US inflation calculations and are a major concern for households.

Despite the easing of inflation, Bernard Yaros, lead economist at Oxford Economics, cautioned that the disruption caused by the government shutdown might be distorting the data, making it more noise than signal.

In recent months, inflation in the US has been on the rise, partly driven by price hikes on items impacted by the tariffs imposed by President Trump earlier in the year, such as toys, appliances, and furniture.

Trump has since reversed some of these tariff plans, including granting exemptions for essential consumer food staples like bananas and coffee. The White House attributes the frustration over rising prices to the situation inherited by the President and assures any tariff-related price increases will be temporary.

Analysts, however, are concerned about inflationary pressures extending to other sectors, particularly as Trump’s immigration policies tighten the labor supply in industries like farming, hospitality, and construction.

In a recent address, Trump claimed that inflation had halted and urged the Federal Reserve to lower borrowing costs. He pledged to nominate a new Federal Reserve leader who advocates for significant interest rate cuts.

While inflation remains above the ideal 2% rate, some analysts believe the latest data could support further rate cuts. Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, stated, “Today’s data signals a positive direction for inflation. Although still above target, it opens the door for additional rate cuts.”

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