With ACA subsidies set to lapse, millions of Americans face a painful spike in health plan costs
The residents of Mahwah, New Jersey, are facing a healthcare crisis as premiums for Affordable Care Act (ACA) insurance plans are set to surge starting in January. Tina Jump, a resident of Mahwah, recently discovered that her monthly premium is set to increase from $400 to over $1,100—a nearly threefold increase that has left her in a state of panic. Jump, who earns $72,000 a year as a real estate title officer, already struggles to cover her Blue Cross Blue Shield plan and the $415 monthly cost of her prescription drug for type 2 diabetes.
“I don’t know how I’m going to pay for this,” Jump expressed her concerns to CBS News. Despite her boss offering to help, the higher premium will still be a significant strain on her budget. Jump is now left wondering how she will manage the increased costs in the coming years.
With two health care bills failing to advance in the Senate, the enhanced premium tax credits that 90% of ACA enrollees rely on to afford health insurance are set to expire on December 31. This leaves Jump and approximately 22 million other Americans facing tough financial decisions.
According to the health policy group KFF, out-of-pocket premium costs are projected to increase by 114% on average for ACA participants who currently receive subsidies. This could result in an additional $1,016 in annual costs for medical insurance, creating a significant financial burden for many families.
Some households may experience even larger premium spikes, with a family of four earning $75,000 per year estimated to see a $3,368 increase in insurance premiums without the tax credits. These rising costs come at a time when many Americans are already struggling to afford basic necessities like groceries, rent, and utilities.
As a result of the impending premium hikes, some ACA participants are considering going without health insurance next year or opting for cheaper plans with less coverage. This could expose them to higher costs and potential medical debt, as noted by Michelle Sternthal, director of government affairs at health care advocacy group Community Catalyst.
The looming financial strain on Americans due to the ACA premium increases has raised concerns about a potential “tsunami of health costs” in the new year. It is estimated that about 4 million people could drop their health insurance as a result of the higher premiums, further exacerbating the healthcare crisis.
Small business owners and self-employed workers are expected to be particularly vulnerable to the rising ACA costs. Many of these individuals have turned to the ACA for health coverage because they lack employer-based insurance. The potential impact on this group, as highlighted by Aaron Lehman, an Iowa farmer, underscores the urgent need for a solution to address the expired tax credits.
The ACA tax credits were initially established in 2021 to lower households’ monthly health plan costs, with the subsidies later extended under the Biden-era Inflation Reduction Act. Despite efforts to extend the credits, Democratic lawmakers were unable to reach a consensus, leading to a stalemate in Congress.
As Congress grapples with the expired tax credits and the impending healthcare crisis, the impact of the higher ACA costs is expected to ripple through the entire healthcare system. If millions of Americans drop coverage, it could destabilize the market and result in increased costs for providers and insurance companies.
In the face of these challenges, lawmakers are under pressure to find a solution that addresses the affordability of health insurance for millions of Americans. The outcome of this debate will have far-reaching implications for individuals like Tina Jump and small business owners who rely on the ACA for their health coverage.



